My best attempt at an overview of the corporate concentration issue, from an HBR piece in July 2017:
The basic facts are these: Most industries in the U.S. have grown more concentrated, meaning the largest firms account for a larger share of revenue. At the same time, corporate profits have reached all-time highs, despite lackluster rates of business investment. And the number of new businesses being founded has declined; the number of new growth startups being founded has risen, yet these firms struggle to scale. The cause of these trends is not clear. Theories include the rise of IT and the network effects it creates, less-rigorous antitrust enforcement, and lobbying and excess regulation.
And a reading list (I’ll try and update it, and let me know what I’ve missed):
The Pro Market blog at the Stigler Center has been excellent on this. Here are a few examples:
Economists: “Totality of Evidence” Underscores Concentration Problem in the U.S.
The Rise of Market Power and the Decline of Labor’s Share
Is the Digital Economy Much Less Competitive Than We Think It Is?
So has the Washington Center for Equitable Growth.
Market power in the U.S. economy today
Is declining competition causing slow U.S. business investment growth?
U.S. antitrust and competition policy amid the new merger wave
A communications oligopoly on steroids: Why antitrust enforcement and regulatory oversight in digital communications matter
New federal antitrust legislation recognizes U.S. workers are not only consumers
Unlocking the promise of antitrust enforcement (conference recap, with videos)
The New America Foundation’s Open Markets program is focused on this:
(update: New America and the Open Markets program have parted ways)
Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox
The Economist has done several great pieces:
The problem with profits
Too much of a good thing
A giant problem
The rise of the superstars
So has The Atlantic:
America’s Monopoly Problem
America’s Monopolies Are Holding Back the Economy
So has ProPublica:
The American Way
These Professors Make More Than a Thousand Bucks an Hour Peddling Mega-Mergers
This is a great piece from Fivethirtyeight on the state of startups:
The Next Amazon (Or Apple, Or GE) Is Probably Failing Right Now
Neil Irwin on winner-take-all at The Upshot:
The Amazon-Walmart Showdown That Explains the Modern Economy
Noah Smith at Bloomberg and on his blog:
Monopolies Are Worse Than We Thought
The Market Power Story
America’s Superstar Companies Are a Drag on Growth
Big Companies Are Getting a Chokehold on the Economy
Tyler Cowen on rising markups: “the whole story just doesn’t add up”:
The Rise of Market Power
Productivity and market power in general equilibrium
Intangible investment and monopoly profits
And on what tech companies are good at; and I comment
More on the rising markups paper (linked below):
Larry Summers comments:
“I’m not certain”
Joe Stiglitz has a big piece in The Nation:
America Has a Monopoly Problem
Litan and Hathaway on decline of new business formation:
Declining Business Dynamism in the United States: A Look at States and Metros
Jason Furman was involved in two papers on this topic:
A Firm-Level Perspective on the Role of Rents in the Rise in Inequality
BENEFITS OF COMPETITION AND INDICATORS OF MARKET POWER
Vox’s Matt Yglesias and Ezra Klein did a podcast on this:
Justin Fox on winner-take-all industries and firm lifespans:
America’s Most Winner-Take-All Industry, Visualized
The Fall, Rise and Fall of Creative Destruction
Greg Ip at WSJ:
A Provocative Look at the Harm From Corporate Heft
McKinsey on winner-take-all dynamics in manufacturing:
Making it in America
The Democrats Confront Monopoly
Are U.S. Industries Becoming More Concentrated?
The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms
Declining Competition and Investment in the U.S.
The Rise of Market Power and the Macroeconomic Implications
(have not read yet, but…) Oligopolies, Prices, and Quantities
(have not yet watched) Rise of Monopoly Power in the U.S.
An interesting anonymous contribution, via Tyler Cowen
Large U.S. firms have always commanded monopolistic rents–think Dupont, Bethlehem Steel, IBM, GM/Ford/Chrysler in their respective heydays. However, several developments have worked to dramatically change how those rents are shared. Before the 1980s shareholder revolution, monopolistic rents of dominant firms were more broadly shared–not just with rank and file employees but with the local community. (link)
We’ve done tons at HBR on this…
…are firms failing faster?
The Biology of Corporate Survival
The Scary Truth About Corporate Survival
(not HBR but see also the last quote)
…on startups being started but not scaling:
The U.S. Startup Economy Is in Both Better and Worse Shape than We Thought
…on superstar firms, and the pay inequality that comes with them:
Productivity Is Soaring at Top Firms and Sluggish Everywhere Else
A Study of 16 Countries Shows That the Most Productive Firms (and Their Employees) Are Pulling Away from Everyone Else
Research: The Rise of Superstar Firms Has Been Better for Investors than for Employees
Corporate Inequality is the Defining Fact of Business Today
Corporations in the Age of Inequality
Investing in the IT That Makes a Competitive Difference
…on digital firms pulling ahead:
The Real Reason Superstar Firms Are Pulling Ahead
The Most Digital Companies Are Leaving All the Rest Behind
What the Companies on the Right Side of the Digital Business Divide Have in Common
Managing Our Hub Economy
(see also several of the items in the superstar section above)
…an interview with Jason Furman:
Competition Is on the Decline, and That’s Fueling Inequality
Mergers May Be Profitable, but Are They Good for the Economy?
As More People Worry About Monopolies, an Economist Explains What Antitrust Can and Can’t Do
The Rise, Fall, and Rebirth of the U.S. Antitrust Movement
…on antitrust, data, and AI:
How Pricing Bots Could Form Cartels and Make Things More Expensive
Should Antitrust Regulators Stop Companies from Collecting So Much Data?
…on lobbying and rent-seeking:
Lobbyists Are Behind the Rise in Corporate Profits
…on common ownership:
One Big Reason There’s So Little Competition Among U.S. Banks
Warren Buffett Is Betting the Airline Oligopoly Is Here to Stay
…on big companies paying more than small ones, but less so than they used to:
Big Companies Don’t Pay As Well As They Used To
…and trying to sum it all up:
Making Sense of Our Very Competitive, Super Monopolistic Economy
More stuff I haven’t had time to organize
Cloud computing and young firm survival
Productivity and IT in Italy
NBER on innovation and inequality: here, here.
AI and productivity, here and here. And robots.
A new paper on the decline of entrepreneurship.
Good overview on antitrust and how competition relates to innovation.
A paper on competition in broadband.
Innosight report on firm survival and turnover
On fast growing firms that fail to find a second act
Why is Google Maps so far ahead of the competition?
New paper on lack of investment, and competition
Noah Smith on monopolies and wages
A paper on labor markets and concentration
Healthcare and antitrust
Brookings on the “monopoly moment”
Wired on antitrust
Artificial intelligence, incentives to innovate, and competition policy
Tyler Cowen on lobbying not paying off for firms, and the paper he cites
Declining labor share and innovation
More industry concentration, more advertising
Tyler Cowen’s IO syllabus (and updated)
Timothy Tayler on network effects, with many good links.
2011 HBR article begins with data on increased volatility in business.
McKinsey Global Institute
FT on big tech and market failures, and also here
And the FT covers a Goldman report on concentration
Maybe markups aren’t rising as much as we think
David Wessel in HBR on declining competition in the U.S. economy
Sunk costs and market structure
Are incumbents doing the innovating? (related)
Wages and monopsony power (New York Times)
A special issue of The Nation devoted to this topic.
Marshall Steinbaum on monopsony.
Intangible investment and competition. Related: this book.
The Obama White House on big data and differential pricing.
Labor market concentration by commuter zone.
Fortune 500 tech acquisitions.
Consumer product purchasing concentration.
Jim Pethokoukis at AEI on McKinsey’s study.
Is big business really that bad? Atkinson & Lind in The Atlantic, with historical data on concentration.
Should we be concerned about the rise of data-opolies?
Markups in retail (NBER)
Declining quality of manufacturing entrepreneurship
Chart: the distribution of economic profits across firms.
McKinsey on the digital transition, winner-take-all, and more.
Two papers on industry shakeout during innovation. (one, two)
Digital innovation with high costs of entry – HBS paper
David Leonhardt on oligopoly
R&D spending by tech giants
McDonald’s and monopsony.
Today’s economic puzzles: a tale of weakening competition.
Hal Varian on tech and industry structure.
Alex Tabarrok in Washington Monthly
Who Thinks About the Competition?
Stigler Center conference.
Me: The Conundrum of Corporate Power
Joshua Gans on antitrust
Entry to avoid competition
Big data and big finance
Markups in the digital era (OECD)
“Their analysis shows that the introduction of a range of new technologies is responsible for 17 percent of the increase of the difference in earnings between college- and high school-educated workers from 1960 and 2000.” (paper and summary)
The real villain behind our gilded age (Posner/Weyl, NYT)
NBER digest on two monopsony papers
Vox big idea on monopsony
A framework for thinking about market power (me)
ProMarket interviews Glen Weyl
It’s not just monopoly and monopsony (EPI)
Catherine Tucker on why network effects don’t always imply market power
On dispersion of markups
Monopsony in online labor markets (plus the paper, plus an interview plus my tweeting)
Two new retrospectives on the Microsoft antitrust case: one, two.
Buying power and supplier wages
Yale Law symposium on antitrust
How fast do retail brands scale?
Brookings / Hamilton project panel on this
Furman and Orszag with a new paper on productivity, inequality, and concentration
More businesspeople are running for office.
Concentration in arcade game apps
On wages in finance
Conference on corporate political engagement
Who profits from patents?
Raising your digital quotient – McKinsey
Hamilton Project report on concentration and dynamism (and here)
James Bessen overview/synthesis on concentration, IT, and AI
Startup employment across countries
AI policy one, two
Trade and innovation lit review
Network effects are less important than they once were
FTC hearings on competition
Conference on productivity dynamics
Quartz interviews Tirole
Andy Haldane BOE 2018 speech on productivity in UK and Chris Giles of the FT comments on Twitter
The Richmond Fed reviews the evidence on industry concentration
Brookings on digital competition
Our paper finds that, starting from low levels, higher markups are initially associated with increasing investment and innovation, but this relationship becomes negative when market power becomes too strong. Further, the link between markups and investment and innovation is more strongly negative in industries featuring higher degrees of market concentration.
Monopsony power in the U.S. labor market
More from the OECD:
Aggregate productivity gains are now led by highly-technological, innovative firms that enjoy increasingly large market shares due to their competitive advantage. Even though these dominant positions tend to be temporary, as firms at the technological frontier are continually being challenged by new and better innovators, this process drives down the labour share – the share of national income going to labour. Frontier companies invest massively in capital-intensive technologies and thus tend to have lower labour shares, while reallocation of market shares towards these “superstar” firms further contributes to a lower part of value added that goes to workers (Chapter 2).
Longer version is here (Ch2). Press coverage is here.
How monopsonies work, with numbers.
Facebook-commissioned analysis pushing back on the idea of “kill zones” where startups can’t grow lest the giants eat them up. The fact that Facebook feels the need to pay for this analysis is perhaps more interesting than the analysis itself. (and more)
New thinking on vertical mergers (Econofact)
Dynamism declining perhaps because of IT (evidence from Belgium)
Digital innovation and the distribution of income (and more)
Equitable growth: there’s a lot to fix in antitrust enforcement.
Market power, and mismeasurement.
Felix Salmon argues Amazon doesn’t have as much market power as markets seem to think. (I think?)
Chris Mims in WSJ.
On antitrust’s consumer welfare principle.
Overview from Equitable Growth.
Competition and IT.
Why is competition important?
Yglesias explains new antitrust ideas.
Matt Phillips on Apple and the rise of “megacompanies.”
Google’s Hal Varian on the EU’s case against Android
The FT on corporate giants
Van Reenen review paper for Jackson Hole, written up here and here
Krueger on monopsony
Intangible capital. and paper.
More Noah Smith, with many links.
Is concentration actually down at the local level?
IGM survey on market share and market power